A hung parliament is all but certain. After months of interviewing the crossbench, here’s what I’ve learnt (19 Dec 2024)
Article summary: As Australia faces a likely hung parliament, the growing influence of independent MPs has reshaped the political landscape. The term “teal” now applies specifically to climate-focused independents from affluent Liberal seats like Kate Chaney, Zali Steggall, and Monique Ryan, while broader “community independents” challenge all major parties, even in regional areas. Rising figures such as Dai Le demonstrate how grassroots popularity can override party-backed campaigns.
The ideological diversity on the crossbench complicates traditional left-right classifications. Bob Katter defies such labels with his socially conservative yet union-supporting stance, while Kate Chaney and other teals balance social progressivism with fiscal responsibility. Rebekha Sharkie calls herself the “sensible centre,” while Jacqui Lambie and Tammy Tyrrell’s populist rhetoric often resists clear categorisation.
Labor’s strict party unity has driven away figures like ex-Senator Fatima Payman, whose Gaza stance conflicted with ALP policies. This contrasts with independents who speak directly for their constituents. Independents are also collaborating more, aided by groups like Climate 200 and Cathy McGowan’s Community Independents Project. Regular crossbench meetings have secured bipartisan support for key issues, showcasing a “party-like” effectiveness while maintaining individual autonomy.
Despite looming political fear-mongering about a hung parliament, experts argue that power-sharing can strengthen democracy. Figures like Rob Oakeshott and Sarah Hanson-Young believe more diverse representation leads to better policy outcomes, as Australians increasingly move away from the major party duopoly.
